Utah vs Brigham Young 9/17/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Utah winning 45% of simulations, and Brigham Young 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Utah commits fewer turnovers in 33% of simulations and they go on to win 59% when they take care of the ball. Brigham Young wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. John White is averaging 101 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Jake Heaps is averaging 262 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (34% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BYU -6

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